AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS SEATTLE WA
AFDSEW 837 PM PDT MON JUN 7 1999
ALL MDLS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH IR IMGRY...HOWEVER AVN A BIT TOO
WARM WITH LOW CENTER PER ACARS...THUS PREFER SLIGHTLY DEEPER NGM IN
LONG RUN - YET BETTER DETAILS TONIGHT WITH MESOETA. INTERESTING
INTERACTION OF DYNAMICS WITH SFC TROF OVR WRN WA COUPLED WITH
CONVERGENCE OUTFLOW FROM THE STRAIT AND ADVECTION OF VORT ROTATING NE
AROUND LOW CENTER. IN SPITE OF COOLING AT SFC - AMS ALOFT CONTINUING
TO DESTABILIZE NEXT 6 HRS OR SO. THUS WILL CONTINUE CHC TS IN CONV
ZONE AND SRN ZONES. AMS AT 7H/5H WARMING 3C BTWN 12Z-00Z TUE PSEUDO
CAP...AND WK SUBSIDENCE AT 7H. HOWEVER SCDRY VORT MAX ROTATES INTO
AREA WITH TIGHT CYCLONIC SHEAR. CONCLUSION IS TO CONTINUE -SHRA NR
MTNS WITH BIGGER SKY. REGARDING TEMPS... WILL BUMP ALL TEMPS UP ABOUT
5 DEGREES FOR TUE AND AGAIN WED...PER TODAY'S MAXES AND XPCTD INCRSG
STABILITY AND MORE BLUE SKY SCENERIO. AFTER ALL NORMAL MAX IS 68 NOT
TO MENTION TIS THE SECOND WK OF JUNE - GOOD THING FOR CALANDERS!
.EXTENDED...NO CHANGE FORESEEN...EARLIER PACKAGE RIGHT ON. ONE
NOTE...LOOKS AS IF GRADUAL RETROGRESSION OF OVERALL PATTERN ON TAP
NEXT WK...SUMMER - ISH??? QUERCIAGROSSA
UIL 4421 SEA 5311 OLM 6311
.KATX...VCP21/CSR21...OPERATIONAL.
.SEW...NONE.