AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTHERN INDIANA
AFDFWA 330 AM EST FRI APR 14 2000
AT 06Z SFC LOW WAS OVR NRN ONTARIO WITH A CDFNT EXTENDING SWWD ACRS
MN INTO SD. CDFNT HAS BEEN MOVG SLOWLY SE OVRNGT. TO THE SOUTH AN
UPR LVL LOW WAS CENTERED OVR SRN MS MOVG SLOWLY EAST. RDG FM OH VLY
TO ERN TX RESULTING IN LTL LOW LVL MOISTURE OVR CWA SO ONLY A FEW CI
OVR AREA ATTM DESPITE VWP IMPLIED LOW LVL WAA.
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THRU 48HRS. LOW OVR ONTARIO WILL SCOOT EAST
AND WEAKEN AS ASSOCD UPR LVL S/WV SHEARS OUT. CDFNT ASSOCD WITH THE
LOW XPCD TO CONT SAGGING SLOWLY SE THRU SAT EVE. MODELS AGREE CDFNT
WL MOVE TO SRN MI/WI BY 00Z SUN...HWVR, WITH AID OF LAKE BREEZES
FRONT COULD END UP A LTL FARTHER SOUTH ALONG LM SHORELINE. UPR LVL
LOW OVR MS XPCD TO MOVE EAST TODAY AND THEN CURVE NE UP SRN APLCHNS
SATURDAY. SFC RIDGE BLOCKING GULF MOISTURE WL ALSO MOVE EAST
TDY/TNGT ALLOWING LOW LVL GULF MOISTURE TO INCRS OVR CWA. MID/UPR
LVL MOISTURE SHD ALSO INCRS SAT OVR ERN PORTIONS AS UPR LOW MOVES NE
UP SRN APLCHNS, BUT, LACK OF FORCING IN OUR AREA SHD RESULT IN NO
RAIN.
FWC/FAN TEMP FCSTS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. LATEST ACARS SUGGEST HIGHS
NEAR 70 ACRS AREA TODAY WITH FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATING A FEW DEGS
WARMER ON SAT.
AVN INDICATES FRONT WILL CONT TO SAG SOUTH INTO AREA SAT NGT AND SUN
AS A LOW MOVES EAST FROM SRN PLAINS. EXTENDED LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE
AND NO CHANGES PLANNED.
.IWX...NONE.
DJT