Forecast Discussions mentioning ACARS, received at FSL on 05/15/00




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NWS GREEN BAY WI

AFDGRB 930 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2000

GOING FCST LOOKS PRETTY GOOD. SFC TEMPS AT 9PM IN THE 40S IN MOST
PLACES. SFC WINDS DROPPED OFF TO ABT 5 KTS WHICH WAS PRETTY QUICK
CONSIDERING THAT GRB 850MB WINDS ARE WNW AT 30 KTS AND MSP 850MB WINDS
ARE WNW AT 28 KTS (ACARS WINDS USED AS MSP RAOB NOT AVAILABLE). 925 MB
WINDS ARE 25 KTS AT GRB AND 20 KTS UPSTREAM AT MSP. SO IT SEEMS THAT THE
ATMOSPHERE IS MORE THAN WILLING TO DECOUPLE NEAR THE GROUND...THEREFORE
TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DROP QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH DEWPOINTS MOSTLY
IN THE 20S. WILL UPDATE WIND PTN OF THE FCST TONIGHT AS WINDS HAVE
ALREADY DIMINISHED. OTHERWISE FCST LOOKS QUITE GOOD.

.GRB...FREEZE ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT
         WIZ005...010>012...018>019
       FROST ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT
         WIZ013...020>022...030>031...035>040...045...048>050

RDM
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GRB




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED

NWS NEW YORK NY

AFDOKX 1007 AM EDT MON MAY 15 2000

CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. UPPER TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS UPSTATE 
NEW YORK PRODUCING A FEW SPRINKLES FOR THE CATSKILLS.  AC FORMING 
BELOW STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT 715 MB LEVEL SEEN ON ALB 12Z 
SOUNDING. THIS SOUNDING SUPPORTS ONLY 60 TO 65 FOR MAX TEMPS.

LOCALLY...MORNING ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF EWR...JFK AND LGA SHOWING THE 
INVERSION AROUND 800 MB. EXPECT HIGH BASED CU TO FORM AND SPREAD OUT 
UNDER THE INVERSION FOR A SCT TO BKN 7000 FT DECK THIS AFTERNOON.  
WILL THUS KEEP THE PARTLY SUNNY FCST. THESE SOUNDINGS AS WELL DO  
NOT SUPPORT 70 FOR A HIGH. WOULD HAVE TO BECOME VERY SUPER ADIABATIC 
AND WITH CLOUDS AND COLD ADVECTION IN PLACE DO NOT SEE THIS 
HAPPENING. WILL LOWER TEMPS.

06Z ETA RUN ALSO SUPPORTS THIS.

NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

MARINE...WAVES LESS THAN 2 FT AT THIS TIME.

ONE MORE THING...SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS THAT WILL BE INFLUENCED BY 
THE SYNOPTIC FLOW ARE ALSO LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. 

.OKX...NONE.

TONGUE




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NWS NEW YORK NY

AFDOKX 1000 AM EDT MON MAY 15 2000

CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. UPPER TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS UPSTATE 
NEW YORK PRODUCING A FEW SPRINKLES FOR THE CATSKILLS.  AC FORMING 
BELOW STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT 715 MB LEVEL SEEN ON ALB 12Z 
SOUNDING. THIS SOUNDING SUPPORTS ONLY 60 TO 65 FOR MAX TEMPS.

LOCALLY...MORNING ACARS FLIGHTS OUT OF EWR...JFK AND LGA SHOWING THE 
INVERSION AROUND 800 MB. EXPECT HIGH BASED CU TO FORM AND SPREAD OUT 
UNDER THE INVERSION FOR A SCT TO BKN 7000 FT DECK THIS AFTERNOON.  
WILL THUS KEEP THE PARTLY SUNNY FCST. THESE SOUNDINGS AS WELL DO  
NOT SUPPORT 70 FOR A HIGH. WOULD HAVE TO BECOME VERY SUPER ADIABATIC 
AND WITH CLOUDS AND COLD ADVECTION IN PLACE DO NOT SEE THIS 
HAPPENING. WILL LOWER TEMPS.

06Z ETA RUN ALSO SUPPORTS THIS. 

NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

MARINE...WAVES LESS THAN 2 FT AT THIS TIME.

.OKX...NONE.

TONGUE