AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NWS NEW YORK NY
AFDOKX 935 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2001
DROPPED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AS WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO WELL
BELOW SCA LEVELS. REST OF FCST LOOKS GOOD FOR NOW. RADAR SHOWING
ONLY A FEW SPRINKLES IN CT.
...................................................................
730 PM UPDATE...
SHORT TERM: PCPN IS IN THE FORM OF RAIN AS TEMPS WELL ABOVE
FREEZING. LATEST RADAR AND ETA RUN SHOWING PCPN UNTIL MIDNIGHT AND
ON THE VERY LIGHT SIDE. ACARS DATA OUR OF EWR SHOWING FREEZING LEVEL
AROUND 2500' WHICH CONCURS WITH BRIGHT BANDING SEEN ON OKX RADAR
OVER JFK AND SOUTH OF LI.
WILL UP TEMPS SOME PER LATEST LAMP GUIDANCE AND CURRENT TRENDS.
WILL ISSUE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR BLACK ICE INLAND IN ABOUT
AN HOUR FOR TOMORROW MORNINGS RUSH HOUR.
....................................................................
300 PM DISCUSSION...
LONGER TERM: SETTING UP FOR VERY NICE WED AS SFC HI BLDS IN. SUM
GUSTY NW WINDS AHD OF HI...ETA HRLY SNDGS SHWG SUM GUST PTNTL TO
20-25 KT. GDNC TEMPS LOOK RSNBL BASED ON TDA'S TEMPS...DESPITE
FRESH SNOW COVER. CLR/NRLY CALM FOR WED NIGHT W/ HI MOVG RIGHT OVR
RGN.
THU BRINGS CHGS. ETA WANTS TO BRING IN SCT RAIN SHOWERS DURG THE
AFTN AHD OF WARM FNT...NGM/SEF/NOGAPS (SUBBING FOR THE AVN) ALL
SUGGEST LTR ARRIVAL TIME. SO WL GO FOR INCRG CLDNS THU AND HOLD
PCPN CHCS TIL THU NITE.
XTNDD: CHC SHRA THU NITE W/ WRMFNT. INT ZNS ARE BIT TRICKIER AND
WL INCLUDE PSBLTY OF SHSN INT ZNS ONLY. THEN NXT MAJOR SYS LOOKS
LIKE IT ARVS FRI AFTN THRU SAT AFTN. WL GO LKLY POP RA FOR SAT.
MARINE: CONT SCA FOR OCEAN/LI SOUND AS WNDS STL UP ARND CRIT. MAY
GET BLO CRIT LTR THIS EVNG...BUT MAY GET CLS AGN TMRW THRU AT LST
MIDDAY HRS. WL CONT MENT OF PSBL GALES IN OTLK.
FINAL SNOWFALL STATEMENT SENT (PNSNYC) EARLIER.
.OKX...
CT...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
TONGUE/REYNOLDS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NWS NEW YORK NY
AFDOKX 745 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2001
SHORT TERM: PCPN IS IN THE FORM OF RAIN AS TEMPS WELL ABOVE
FREEZING. LATEST RADAR AND ETA RUN SHOWING PCPN UNTIL MIDNIGHT AND
ON THE VERY LIGHT SIDE. ACARS DATA OUR OF EWR SHOWING FREEZING LEVEL
AROUND 2500' WHICH CONCURS WITH BRIGHT BANDING SEEN ON OKX RADAR
OVER JFK AND SOUTH OF LI.
WILL UP TEMPS SOME PER LATEST LAMP GUIDANCE AND CURRENT TRENDS.
WILL ISSUE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR BLACK ICE INLAND IN ABOUT
AN HOUR FOR TOMORROW MORNINGS RUSH HOUR.
....................................................................
LONGER TERM: SETTING UP FOR VERY NICE WED AS SFC HI BLDS IN. SUM
GUSTY NW WINDS AHD OF HI...ETA HRLY SNDGS SHWG SUM GUST PTNTL TO
20-25 KT. GDNC TEMPS LOOK RSNBL BASED ON TDA'S TEMPS...DESPITE
FRESH SNOW COVER. CLR/NRLY CALM FOR WED NIGHT W/ HI MOVG RIGHT OVR
RGN.
THU BRINGS CHGS. ETA WANTS TO BRING IN SCT RAIN SHOWERS DURG THE
AFTN AHD OF WARM FNT...NGM/SEF/NOGAPS (SUBBING FOR THE AVN) ALL
SUGGEST LTR ARRIVAL TIME. SO WL GO FOR INCRG CLDNS THU AND HOLD
PCPN CHCS TIL THU NITE.
XTNDD: CHC SHRA THU NITE W/ WRMFNT. INT ZNS ARE BIT TRICKIER AND
WL INCLUDE PSBLTY OF SHSN INT ZNS ONLY. THEN NXT MAJOR SYS LOOKS
LIKE IT ARVS FRI AFTN THRU SAT AFTN. WL GO LKLY POP RA FOR SAT.
MARINE: CONT SCA FOR OCEAN/LI SOUND AS WNDS STL UP ARND CRIT. MAY
GET BLO CRIT LTR THIS EVNG...BUT MAY GET CLS AGN TMRW THRU AT LST
MIDDAY HRS. WL CONT MENT OF PSBL GALES IN OTLK.
FINAL SNOWFALL STATEMENT SENT (PNSNYC) EARLIER.
.OKX...
CT...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SCA FOR OCEAN/SOUND ONLY...ANZ350-353-355-330-335.
REYNOLDS/TONGUE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NWS COLUMBIA SC
AFDCAE 1215 AM EST TUE FEB 6 2001
WILL UPDATE TO REMOVE "BECOMING" FROM TODAY'S WIND FORECAST.
CURRENT TEMPERATURES AND ACARS DATA SUPPORTS THE HIGH TEMPERATURE
FORECAST.
FCSTID = 5
CAE 65 35 68 40 / 0 0 0 0
AGS 66 34 68 39 / 0 0 0 0
SSC 65 35 68 40 / 0 0 0 0
OGB 66 35 68 40 / 0 0 0 0
.CAE...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.