Forecast Discussions mentioning "ACARS", "MDCRS", or "AIRCRAFT" received at FSL on 01/28/02


SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
AFDLOX 300 PM PST SUN JAN 27 2002

SYNOPTIC SITUATION...IN 24 HOURS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER VANCOUVER ISLAND DRIFTS SOUTHEAST TO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND A COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE EAST TO ARIZONA. IN 48 HOURS...THE LOW MOVES SE INTO SRN NV.

DOPPLER RADARS CURRENTLY SHOW THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS WITH THE FRONT OVER WESTERN VENTURA COUNTY. RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN AS HIGH AS 0.56 INCHES IN ONE HOUR EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON NEAR SANTA BARBARA...BUT MOST RAINFALL HAS BEEN FALLING AT LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH PER HOUR. EXPECT THE FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN A HALF INCH IN MOST AREAS...BUT SOME SOUTH FACING SLOPES COULD SEE UP TO 1.25 INCHES. DUE TO OROGAPHICS... RAIN IS EXPECT TO CONTINUE LINGER OVER LA COUNTY THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT.

SNOW WAS FALLING EARLIER AT MOUNT WILSON WHERE A TRACE WAS MEASURED AT NOON...AND SANBERG IS OBSERVING SNOW WITH AN AIR TEMP OF +3 DEG C. LATEST AVAILABLE ACARS SOUNDING HAS FREEZING LEVEL OVR LA BASIN AT 6000 FEET. BUT THIS SHOULD LOWER QUICKLY WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING. A SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BY NWS SAN DIEGO FOR THEIR MOUNTAINS...AND ONE WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE BY 4 PM.

BEHIND THE FRONT...COLD AIR ALOFT WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. SO WHEN THE FRONTAL BAND EXITS OVERNIGHT...EXPECT INSTABILITY SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ON MONDAY. THESE SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. NOTE THAT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO BRING BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES TO THE MOUNTAINS AND VERY CHILLY CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. MOUNTAIN WIND CHILLS COULD DROP TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT AND DOWN TO ZERO TO 10 BELOW TUESDAY NIGHT.

EXTENDED...MRF AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE DIVERGING ON FRIDAY AND BEYOND. THE CURRENT SYSTEM LINGERS INTO TUESDAY BEFORE MOVING EAST. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LOOK FAIR AND WARMER...BUT BOTH MRF AND ECMWF ARE CALLING FOR ANOTHER SYSTEM LATE IN THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH THE DETAILS OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE DIFFERENT... AT THIS TIME...DOES NOT LOOK AS COLD OR WET AS THIS CURRENT SYSTEM. WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST AS PARTLY CLOUDY FOR THE TIME BEING.

LAX 8675. DANIELSON.

.LOX...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLAX). HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK (SEE LAXSPSLAX).




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WICHITA KS
AFDICT 330 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2002

MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF THE FRONT...PRECIP TYPE AND TEMPERATURES.

LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A WELL DEFINED VORT LOBE PREPARING TO SLAM INTO THE WEST COAST. WIND FIELDS AHEAD OF THIS TROF ACCORDING TO ACARS AND PROFILERS ARE ON THE ORDER OF 120-130KTS BETWEEN 200 AND 300MB. THIS IS WELL INITIALIZED BY THE ETA/AVN RUNS. BOTH OF THESE MODELS ARE ALSO IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST 60HRS ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF. THE MRF APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER IN CUTTING OFF THIS TROF IN THE ROCKIES WHILE THE ETA/AVN SOLUTION TEND PHASE IT WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM WAVE. LATEST SFC ANALYSIS IS SHOWING THE FRONT MAKING QUICK PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH NB. THIS IS AHEAD OF WHAT THE ETA WAS PROJECTING AT 18Z. AS A RESULT...WE WILL FOLLOW CLOSEST TO THE ETA SOLUTION THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TNGT: THE ARCTIC FRONT IN NB WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO NORTHERN KS AROUND DAYBREAK. THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GETTING TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE INVERSION WHICH IS PRODUCING A FEW LOW CLOUDS IN NB. AS THIS ARCTIC AIR MASS HEADS SOUTH IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MODIFY SOME WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO MIX OUT FAIRLY QUICKLY IN THE MORNING DUE TO A VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RADIATE OUT FAIRLY WELL TONIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES WITH ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS PRESENT. WE HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES ABOUT A CATEGORY IN ALL LOCATIONS TO REFLECT RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH FOLLOWS CLOSE TO GUIDANCE.

TMRW: THE ETA BRINGS THE FRONT THROUGH CENTRAL KS DURING THE MORNING...BUT IT IS TENDING TO STALL OUT IN THE SOUTHEAST. THIS IS PROBABLY IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGGING IN THE SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER...WITH THE FAST PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT IT MAY GO A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THAT WHAT THE ETA IS PROJECTING. WE HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SINCE IT TENDS TO BLEND EARLIER WITH THE ETA RUN.

TMRW NGT: THE BOUNDARY GRADUALLY SAGS INTO NORTHERN OK. HOW FAR SOUTH THIS BOUNDARY WILL TRAVEL IS BIG QUESTION MARK AS CYCLOGENIS GETS GEARED UP IN THE ROCKIES WITH GOOD FRONTOGENISIS SETTING UP ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WE WILL GO WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TEMPERATURES SINCE THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE A HUGE GRADIENT SETTING UP WITH THE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

TUE AND WED: WE ARE ONCE AGAIN GOING WITH THE ETA SOLUTION. THE AVN...ECMF...AND UKMET SOLUTION APPEARS TO PUT THE BOUNDARY TO FAR NORTH. ALL THESE MODELS ARE PUMPING IN GOOD WARM AIR ADVECTION ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WHICH WILL YIELD TO A MIXED BAG OF PRECIP. THE BEST CHANCE APPEARS TO BE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PART SINCE THEY WILL BE CLOSER TO THE BOUNDARY AND THE STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED BETWEEN I290-I300K. ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET WILL ALSO AID IN THE SITUATION AND PROVIDE AMPLE LIFT. FOR NOW WE WILL INTRODUCE A CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE LATE AFTN IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST. THEN TUE NGT AND WED WE WILL GO WITH RA TO FZRA IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WITH A MIXED BAG IN THE NORTH. PRECIP SHOULD CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW WED AND WED NIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS SHIFTS THROUGH.

EXTD: APPEARS AS IF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL KICK EAST TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND YIELD TO ZONAL FLOW OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ALSO SHOULD BEGIN TO RECOVER AFTER THE CLOUDS MOVE OUT ON THURSDAY WITH A GOOD DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT SETTING UP AGAIN. WE HAVE RAISED TEMPERATURES TO REFLECT THIS. THANKS FOR COORDINATION EVERYONE

FCSTID = 18 ICT 39 55 25 37 / 0 0 0 40 HUT 39 55 25 37 / 0 0 0 40 EWK 39 55 25 37 / 0 0 0 40 EQA 39 55 25 37 / 0 0 0 40 WLD 39 55 25 37 / 0 0 0 40 RSL 32 44 21 30 / 0 0 0 0 GBD 32 44 21 30 / 0 0 0 0 SLN 35 47 24 34 / 0 0 0 0 MPR 35 47 24 34 / 0 0 0 0 CFV 43 59 29 42 / 0 0 0 40 CNU 43 59 29 42 / 0 0 0 40 K88 43 59 29 42 / 0 0 0 40

.ICT...NONE. COX




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WICHITA KS
AFDICT 218 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2002

MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TIMING OF THE FRONT...PRECIP TYPE AND TEMPERATURES.

LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A WELL DEFINED VORT LOBE PREPARING TO SLAM INTO THE WEST COAST. WIND FIELDS AHEAD OF THIS TROF ACCORDING TO ACARS AND PROFILERS ARE ON THE ORDER OF 120-130KTS BETWEEN 200 AND 300MB. THIS IS WELL INITIALIZED BY THE ETA/AVN RUNS. BOTH OF THESE MODELS ARE ALSO IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST 60HRS ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF. THE MRF APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER IN CUTTING OFF THIS TROF IN THE ROCKIES WHILE THE ETA/AVN SOLUTION TEND PHASE IT WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM WAVE. LATEST SFC ANALYSIS IS SHOWING THE FRONT MAKING QUICK PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THROUGH NB. THIS IS AHEAD OF WHAT THE ETA WAS PROJECTING AT 18Z. AS A RESULT...WE WILL FOLLOW CLOSEST TO THE ETA SOLUTION THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TNGT: THE ARCTIC FRONT IN NB WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO NORTHERN KS AROUND DAYBREAK. THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GETTING TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE INVERSION WHICH IS PRODUCING A FEW LOW CLOUDS IN NB. AS THIS ARCTIC AIR MASS HEADS SOUTH IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MODIFY SOME WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO MIX OUT FAIRLY QUICKLY IN THE MORNING DUE TO A VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RADIATE OUT FAIRLY WELL TONIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES WITH ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS PRESENT. WE HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES ABOUT A CATEGORY IN ALL LOCATIONS TO REFLECT RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH FOLLOWS CLOSE TO GUIDANCE.

TMRW: THE ETA BRINGS THE FRONT THROUGH CENTRAL KS DURING THE MORNING...BUT IT IS TENDING TO STALL OUT IN THE SOUTHEAST. THIS IS PROBABLY IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGGING IN THE SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER...WITH THE FAST PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT IT MAY GO A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THAT WHAT THE ETA IS PROJECTING. WE HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SINCE IT TENDS TO BLEND EARLIER WITH THE ETA RUN.

TMRW NGT: THE BOUNDARY GRADUALLY SAGS INTO NORTHERN OK. HOW FAR SOUTH THIS BOUNDARY WILL TRAVEL IS BIG QUESTION MARK AS CYCLOGENIS GETS GEARED UP IN THE ROCKIES WITH GOOD FRONTOGENISIS SETTING UP ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WE WILL GO WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TEMPERATURES SINCE THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE A HUGE GRADIENT SETTING UP WITH THE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

TUE AND WED: WE ARE ONCE AGAIN GOING WITH THE ETA SOLUTION. THE AVN...ECMF...AND UKMET SOLUTION APPEARS TO PUT THE BOUNDARY TO FAR NORTH. ALL THESE MODELS ARE PUMPING IN GOOD WARM AIR ADVECTION ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WHICH WILL YIELD TO A MIXED BAG OF PRECIP. THE BEST CHANCE APPEARS TO BE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PART SINCE THEY WILL BE CLOSER TO THE BOUNDARY AND THE STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT DEPICTED BETWEEN I290-I300K. ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET WILL ALSO AID IN THE SITUATION AND PROVIDE AMPLE LIFT. FOR NOW WE WILL INTRODUCE A CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE LATE AFTN IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST. THEN TUE NGT AND WED WE WILL GO WITH RA TO FZRA IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WITH A MIXED BAG IN THE NORTH. PRECIP SHOULD CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW WED AND WED NIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS SHIFTS THROUGH.

EXTD: APPEARS AS IF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL KICK EAST TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND YIELD TO ZONAL FLOW OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ALSO SHOULD BEGIN TO RECOVER AFTER THE CLOUDS MOVE OUT ON THURSDAY WITH A GOOD DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT SETTING UP AGAIN. WE HAVE RAISED TEMPERATURES TO REFLECT THIS. THANKS FOR COORDINATION EVERYONE

.ICT...NONE. COX




SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS LUBBOCK, TX
AFDLBB 400 AM CST SUN JAN 28 2002

ANOTHER WARM DAY IN STORE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING CLOSE TO RECORD LEVELS. WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING...FIRE DANGER THREAT WILL REMAIN.

MAIN FORECAST DILEMMA IS THE POSITIONING/TIMING OF THE ARCTIC FRONT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS SOUTH OF DODGE CITY INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO AT 09Z WITH THE BEST PRESSURE RISES OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE AS CLOSE AS THE NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY BUT STALL THIS AFTERNOON. THE MCCOOK NEBRASKA PROFILER SHOWS INDICATIONS OF THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS. THE COLD AIR WAS UP TO A DEPTH NEAR 750 MB AROUND 21Z SUNDAY BUT NOW THE LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS BECOME SOUTHERLY WITH ONLY THE LOWEST GATE SHOWING AN EASTERLY COMPONENT. TUCUMCARI PROFILER SHOWS 35 TO 40 KNOTS SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IMPINGING ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ANOTHER PUSH TONIGHT IN A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTATION. WILL GO SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE FAVORED ETA SCHEDULE FOR THE FRONT NEARING THE CHILDRESS AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BISECTING THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL THEN MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ON THIS SCENARIO DUE TO STRONG MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHICH WILL LEAD TO SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OVER OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS AND STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW TO IMPEDE THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT MAY SAG FARTHER SOUTH OFF THE CAPROCK BEFORE ATTAINING A SUFFICIENT DEPTH TO PUSH SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATION OF THE SOUTH PLAINS.

MODELS HAVE COME INTO AN AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND PATH OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THE UPPER LOW SHOULD SWING SOUTH THROUGH CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW STILL INTACT OVER ARIZONA BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. LOW OPENS UP INTO A WAVE AS IT KICKS OUT ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONE THING TO NOTE WHICH MAKES ME CAUTIOUS INTO BUYING THIS AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS IS THE LACK OF ACARS AIRCRAFT DATA OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR THE MODELS TO INITIALIZE WITH. NOT SURE IF THE MODELS HAVE A HANDLE ON THE JET STRUCTURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW WHICH WOULD HAVE AN EFFECT ON THE TIMING OF THE SYSTEM.

WARM AIR ADVECTION INCREASES OVER THE SHALLOW COLD DOME BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION MAY START AS A MIXTURE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW. SNOW SHOULD LAST INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO LATER PERIODS.

FRI 72/38/55/28/33 00145 TUL 73/36/53/25/32 00146 CDS 77/36/52/28/34 00148 BNF 76/42/62/35/40 00146 LUB 75/40/58/34/39 00146 ASP 78/47/60/39/44 00147

.LUB...NONE.

TINSLEY




SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TO DAY
NWS LUBBOCK, TX
AFDLBB 400 AM CST MON JAN 28 2002

ANOTHER WARM DAY IN STORE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING CLOSE TO RECORD LEVELS. WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING...FIRE DANGER THREAT WILL REMAIN.

MAIN FORECAST DILEMMA IS THE POSITIONING/TIMING OF THE ARCTIC FRONT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS SOUTH OF DODGE CITY INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO AT 09Z WITH THE BEST PRESSURE RISES OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE AS CLOSE AS THE NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY BUT STALL THIS AFTERNOON. THE MCCOOK NEBRASKA PROFILER SHOWS INDICATIONS OF THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS. THE COLD AIR WAS UP TO A DEPTH NEAR 750 MB AROUND 21Z SUNDAY BUT NOW THE LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS BECOME SOUTHERLY WITH ONLY THE LOWEST GATE SHOWING AN EASTERLY COMPONENT. TUCUMCARI PROFILER SHOWS 35 TO 40 KNOTS SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IMPINGING ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ANOTHER PUSH TONIGHT IN A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTATION. WILL GO SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE FAVORED ETA SCHEDULE FOR THE FRONT NEARING THE CHILDRESS AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BISECTING THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL THEN MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ON THIS SCENARIO DUE TO STRONG MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHICH WILL LEAD TO SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OVER OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS AND STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW TO IMPEDE THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT MAY SAG FARTHER SOUTH OFF THE CAPROCK BEFORE ATTAINING A SUFFICIENT DEPTH TO PUSH SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATION OF THE SOUTH PLAINS.

MODELS HAVE COME INTO AN AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND PATH OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THE UPPER LOW SHOULD SWING SOUTH THROUGH CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW STILL INTACT OVER ARIZONA BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. LOW OPENS UP INTO A WAVE AS IT KICKS OUT ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONE THING TO NOTE WHICH MAKES ME CAUTIOUS INTO BUYING THIS AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS IS THE LACK OF ACARS AIRCRAFT DATA OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR THE MODELS TO INITIALIZE WITH. NOT SURE IF THE MODELS HAVE A HANDLE ON THE JET STRUCTURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW WHICH WOULD HAVE AN EFFECT ON THE TIMING OF THE SYSTEM.

WARM AIR ADVECTION INCREASES OVER THE SHALLOW COLD DOME BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION MAY START AS A MIXTURE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW. SNOW SHOULD LAST INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO LATER PERIODS.

FRI 72/38/55/28/33 00145 TUL 73/36/53/25/32 00146 CDS 77/36/52/28/34 00148 BNF 76/42/62/35/40 00146 LUB 75/40/58/34/39 00146 ASP 78/47/60/39/44 00147

.LUB...NONE.

TINSLEY